Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 9.265117 10.326336 11.488800 12.861650 14.444988 16.221295 18.375373
2025-11-16 7.711568 9.085267 10.699079 12.752475 15.320768 18.460495 22.641367
2025-11-23 6.701072 8.184135 10.008332 12.448840 15.677117 19.871781 25.853770
2025-11-30 6.058139 7.616358 9.605828 12.380138 16.227249 21.495276 29.476490
2025-12-07 5.408418 6.954488 8.986984 11.916300 16.136127 22.169254 31.786090
2025-12-14 4.837227 6.335981 8.354327 11.344375 15.792658 22.392141 33.389237
2025-12-21 4.463081 5.949255 7.997179 11.112536 15.895061 23.254671 36.078000
2025-12-28 4.515183 6.154807 8.481815 12.145702 18.007589 27.480112 45.020648
2026-01-04 4.342489 6.020454 8.455963 12.393751 18.900449 29.830817 51.093928
2026-01-11 4.047836 5.684245 8.100308 12.086884 18.840901 30.537246 54.203167
2026-01-18 3.931530 5.604924 8.126038 12.388243 19.830355 33.206461 61.626379
2026-01-25 3.707589 5.345918 7.852093 12.167974 19.880242 34.147900 65.654094
2026-02-01 3.495115 5.099162 7.592126 11.969172 19.984580 35.277921 70.493013
2026-02-08 3.317093 4.896118 7.389189 11.852094 20.229369 36.725302 76.396931
2026-02-15 3.124592 4.657710 7.110963 11.576068 20.138333 37.468939 80.784181
2026-02-22 2.988646 4.502368 6.959710 11.513223 20.450583 39.097063 87.751787
2026-03-01 2.799185 4.248797 6.626398 11.089320 19.997676 38.999882 90.190498
2026-03-08 2.606910 3.981212 6.254250 10.566131 19.293052 38.252937 90.712885
2026-03-15 2.480978 3.818508 6.054511 10.353887 19.212375 38.922546 95.408482
2026-03-22 2.548836 3.986051 6.442144 11.299018 21.687759 46.002829 121.197097
2026-03-29 2.500270 3.950352 6.463832 11.525664 22.622564 49.487833 137.007014
2026-04-05 2.381375 3.786184 6.242500 11.245260 22.381892 49.922059 142.670775
2026-04-12 2.347317 3.769527 6.291124 11.520632 23.454052 54.006812 162.739448